The M5s first party and center-right first coalition in this electoral round that gives Italy the confirmation of the forecasts of the eve, including those on fears of foreseeable ungovernability.
Two factors that deserve careful consideration: the collapse of the Democratic Party and the overtaking of the League on Forza Italy, with an advantage of 4% -5%. This is the photograph of the results of these elections when considering the results that come from the sections when the count has passed the 60% in the Senate and beyond the 40% in the Chamber.
Luigi Di Maio's Movement triumphs in the South, while the center-right stands out in the whole center-north. The Democratic Party only resists in the Tuscany of Matteo Renzi and in the Trentino of the outgoing minister Maria Elena Boschi. Italy will therefore find itself having to deal with a decisive exploit of the 5 Star Movement and with a clear comeback of the center-right that far exceeds the center-left coalition.
It's a very large win for both of us. Luigi Di Maio leads the Movement, which in 2013 had collected 25,6% of the consensus, as far as it was intended and even beyond. His goal was to reach the 30% milestone and not only did he hit it but he also surpassed it. It was complex for the pentastellato political leader to now transform this suffrage into a project that would bring it to Palazzo Chigi. Even if this will be his request to the Head of State: with a package of votes exceeding 31% he will say that he intends to lead what will be the future government team.
The center-right alliance has also hit the mark. The coalition largely exceeds 36%, even reaching 37% in the Senate. And to sing victory is Matteo Salvini. His league has quadrupled its votes since 2013. And, above all, it has far surpassed Silvio Berlusconi. Fratelli d'Italia is also growing: Giorgia Meloni has also doubled her votes since 2013 (when she obtained less than 2%), reaching 4,20% both in the House and in the Senate. On the wool thread We with Italy, which is just over 1%.
For the center-left, however, the darkest omens have come true including the danger of the Democratic Party collapsing below the psychological threshold of 20%: in the Senate, Matteo Renzi's party is currently at 19,86%. In the alliance the only one that could survive would be + Europe by Emma Bonino, which exceeds, but only slightly, 2%. Even for Liberi e Uguali the results are not comforting: in the Chamber it is 3,55%, while in the Senate it is 3,36%, a result below expectations.
We are now waiting for statements by political leaders who are likely to arrive at the end of the draft scheduled for the early afternoon.