General Paschal Precious, Afghanistan: Crossroads of Geopolitical Structure. What is national interest in Afghanistan?

President Trump in the 21 August speech for Afghanistan made important clarifications.

The first, however, was that of Kabul's greater involvement in taking on a greater responsibility for the ongoing war, thus highlighting that the country is far from a reconciliation scenario.

The second point covered Pakistan with its sanctuaries still present for terrorist and Taliban dissidents.

Finally, he said that it is not possible to retrieve troops from Afghanistan, for the risk that terrorist outbreak may once again find fertile ground in the battered area ISIS docet.

The only solution announced was the increase, though not quantified, of militants in Afghanistan.

The announced decision has nothing to do with the ultimate strategic goals for the region.

Afghanistan is the longest operating theater of the USA and some allies among which Italy. After the decisions made by some non-technical scholars of the US President for Afghanistan, geopolitically speaking, no great results can be expected on the ground or major upheavals: in fact, today it is referred to as "conflict management" for 'Afghanistan, for the joy of China and Russia, and not of' conflict resolution '.

In the two main moments of the war in Afghanistan, the presence of allied troops reached about 150.000 soldiers to defeat the Taliban.

Today, the Taliban say they have regained the 40% of the lost territory, Kabul claims instead that only the 11% of the territory was lost: regardless of the numbers in play, which will always be contested by both sides, Afghanistan is far behind from being defined after sixteen years from the beginning of the stabilization operations of the area, indeed, it continues to witness changes in decisions, and this is typical of conflicts where, at the end of large military hostilities, political solutions can not be conflict.

In September 11, the United States declared that they were under attack (Attack on America) and the perpetrators had been identified in Al Qaeda, a terrorist organization developed in Afghanistan under the Taliban regime.

The Taliban lost support from the US, backed by the country's previous occupation in Russia, for refusing to hand over Osama Bin Laden and its terrorist organization.

After sixteen years of operations, although the political objective has remained the same, only the military tactics and numbers have changed: the 4000 soldiers mentioned in the press, following the presidential speech as a reinforcement to the current deployment, will certainly not change the situation geopolitics of the area.

Pakistan is also watchful of future developments, especially for political and strategic aspects, in Afghanistan's unexpected, unexpected, American president in his speech, which required the least economic involvement of India in the Afghan crisis.

The geopolitical situation in the area as a result of that American request, which can also be read in anti-Chinese terms, has now become much more complex for the settlement of the Afghan conflict.

We do not know what India's decisions will be on the US proposal, but after India's demand for India, Pakistan, a vicious enemy of India, will have to change its strategy to avoid the risk of being in India, It has more than a billion people, even on the Afghan border.

The game is all to be played and it is conceivable that Pakistan will now have to seek, sadly and again, Taliban support to ward off the entry of India into Afghanistan.

Pakistan will have to strengthen the religious concept of unity of the country against the ethnic one.

Throughout this far-off game with actors and extras, Italy, present in Afghanistan since the beginning of operations, will have to wonder if it is still national interest to be present in that area and with what ends: to be allies means to share strategies, risks and costs to achieve common goals.

By Pasquale Preziosa

General Paschal Precious, Afghanistan: Crossroads of Geopolitical Structure. What is national interest in Afghanistan?