(by Francesco Matera) The match is in the hands of Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte, the majority parties have made him understand that he must resign in order to have the post for a Count ter from President Mattarella. However, he will have to go up to the Colle with the list of new ministers already in his pocket. A strong team of a larger majority that would include pieces of the moderate area of the center-right and of course Italia Viva di Renzi.
However, Conte hesitates, he doesn't trust. He had no assurance that he would receive the investiture of the Head of State for a new post. Mattarella, with the Constitution in hand, will ask for evidence of the existence of a solid majority in the two Houses of Parliament. It will therefore have to start consultations which also include confrontation with oppositions. A path too insidious and full of surprises that are now well hidden behind the indigo colonnade of the Quirinale. Conte fears his resignation, too many unknowns and too many grudges that are registered in the same ranks of the two major majority parties, Pd and M5S. The alternative would be to compete in the Chamber in the vote on the Keeper's report, but in the Senate the numbers in favor of Bonafede are too fluctuating. What to do then? Go to court and take risks rather than admit defeat of his own accord? Push to go to the elections strong of the polls that give a Conte list to well over 13 percent of the votes? In fact, the insiders are already thinking of a date, next April 11th. Conte could thus take advantage of the strength of Palazzo Chigi to amplify his personal electoral campaign. A solution that would panic all those who would see their first parliamentary experience inexorably end with elections. The bugbear of the early elections could also be a winning lever to convince everyone to a little milder attitudes with concrete actions of responsibility, a message for Italia Viva, responsible for the crisis.
Conte, however, could resign, paving the way for another operation: To appeal to all political forces to collaborate on a government of national salvation.
The goal, in this case, would be to break up the weak glue that holds the center-right coalition together. Conte thus hopes to support the centrist project, including important numbers of Forza Italia parliamentarians. As proof of the probable Contian strategy, the words of the Knight who proposed, alone, a government of national unity, but at the same time also early elections. A unique ambiguity, as if to say I'm with Conte but also with Salvini and Meloni.
Last night Matteo Salvini, in connection on La7 in the broadcast conducted by Massimo Giletti, said that he would be in favor of supporting Silvio Berlusconi in the next elections for the President of the Republic. Salvini would have flattered Silvio to make him give up on the wicked choice to join a government with everyone inside.
From the premises it is clear that Conte will eventually be able to get out of the impasse with the approval of Mattarella, for a Conte ter, or rather for a government of national unity. The center-right must come to terms with it and wait for March 2023, the date on which these three Conte governments will finally end their natural office.