Coronavirus, Eurispes Security Observatory: "The country that manages to best mitigate risk levels will win the future"

"#Coronavirus emergency, there are three interconnected risk factors that afflict all countries, from health to economic and social. The country that manages to mitigate risk levels in the best possible way will win the future ”.  So in an article published by Eurispet.it Magazine, the general Pasquale Preziosa, Presidents of the Eurispes Security Observatory, Proc. Agg. dnaa Doctor Giovanni Russo and Prof. Avv. Robert DeVita, Vice Presidents.

The EU and the ECB, we read in the analysis, have shown signs of late and confused reactivity to the pandemic in progress, undermining the emergency response systems, increasing the levels of uncertainty in the states. Individual European countries have returned to their usual behavior.
To say it with Bauman, today «potential capabilities are global, but their realization is left to individual initiative". In a few weeks our country will be faced with new choices, both health, economic and social.
The medical cost of the emergency, in the short term, will be high and dramatic, the cost of the economic downturn in the country will be even higher in the medium term; therefore the recovery, in safe conditions, will become indispensable, because international competition is to be compared to the motion of a worm. And the real challenge is to protect people's lives and health and at the same time not to cancel their future.
According to McKinsey, world GDP growth will halve compared to forecasts, with a globalized slowdown in economies, according to other analysts, there will be a global recession.

The slowdown will impact the “small and midsize company". In the field of consumption, the demand, which is now fluctuating, in the medium term will be almost compensatory for the same forecasted GDP, the problem concerns companies that work with low margins on working capital and will therefore be helped.

Less developed economies will suffer more than more developed ones. The cost of oil is expected to remain low until the third quarter of 2020. The service sector, civil aviation and tourism will suffer the greatest impact.
The industrial sector will suffer a lower economic impact, if risk mitigation actions are applied, through the protection of workers. In every life event there are lights and shadows, negative aspects and opportunities to be grasped.
The new things for our country will be healthcare and the digitization of the Peninsula. For the health sector it is necessary to review the whole organization, in the light of dramatic lessons that are emerging from the crisis today and resolving them not politically but factually, with particular attention to the homogeneity of health services on the national territory, the fight against waste and corruption, with attention to training and research.
for digitization, instead, it is important to operate immediately, taking advantage of the opportunities that have arisen.
The school sector, for example, will bring home an unrecoverable teaching gap, at the same time, however, distance learning has been enhanced, which will also need to be enhanced in the future for the teaching of foreign languages, where there is a lot of shortage.
Telework and lo smart working they will be the key points for the digital restart of the country: the state of need for insulation at home must be perceived above all as a job opportunity.
Today's "everyone at home" must be conceived as "all at home to produce through new means ", this will help to reduce, the "digital divides”Present in our society.
La digital infrastructure network will need to be enhanced and implemented to meet the increased need, avoiding the "down" points of the data transmission lines. The current network has already highlighted its limitations under the current traffic stress. To work away from the company, the development of collaborative platforms. The same goes for sports that can be done at home, under the digital guidance of the trainer. There digital shopping at supermarkets and pharmacies, which today is perceived as a necessity, can become a normality, with job creation and important economic savings, so we will also solve the problems related touse of cash which, notoriously, cannot be systematically sanitized.
The problem of poor mobility of elderly it will also have to find space in digital, through, for example, the “Electronic delivery man"That can, with a phone call, provide solutions to daily supplies, so as to mitigate the generational" digital divide ". Telemedicine must also allow the treatment of a patient remotely.
Likewise, the Public administration as a whole and, in particular, justice, will pass from the analogue to the digital era, making up for years of delay which represent a handicap compared to other countries. The current pandemic would have had more serious social and economic impacts if it had erupted only 10/15 years ago, when the intangible economy was only in its infancy, based on the four main assets: knowledge, collaboration, loyalty, time to create value.
The digital revolution allows us today to be able to protect the supreme good of life, yes in confined places, but with the satisfaction of the needs of all time: from work (not for everyone), to food, to digital training, to the favorite film, to the video call or video conferencing.
The system of institutional, economic and financial relations, which in recent days has been forced to "move" en masse onto digital networks which have supplanted personal contact and business meeting networks, can offer new opportunities to carry out criminal attacks not only on cyber terrorists, but also to organized crime.

We must therefore consider it as one sudden, impetuous and disordered hyper-digitization can also represent a serious risk for national and individual security, if not accompanied by an equally rapid growth of digital culture and cyber security, further fronts on which to invest for our future. It will temporarily decrease theenvironmental pollution due to excessive traffic.

The country that manages to mitigate risk levels in the best possible way will win the future ”. Italy seems to have moved in time before the other countries, despite the shortcomings of the health system and beyond, highlighted in these days of pure emergency.  COMPLETE ITEM 

 

 

Coronavirus, Eurispes Security Observatory: "The country that manages to best mitigate risk levels will win the future"