In Ukraine, the problem of priming. What happens if there is a heterodirect coup?

(by Andrea Pinto) Conventional attack with aviation bombing and invasion with armored vehicles or simply massive cyber attacks, followed by a coup? The hybrid war has probably already begun, thousands would be fake social accounts that have been making propaganda for the Russian separatists of the Donbass for months. Thus, Putin's surprise move would be revealed as he continues, as a diversion, to amass troops on the eastern borders of Ukraine and fill the Black Sea with military ships, as he prepares to launch the most massive cyber attack in modern history. one state against another. Meanwhile, according to CIA reports, hundreds of Kremlin secret agents have long been trying to organize a coup.

Even the secretary general of NATO Jens Stoltenberg warned: "Many Russian intelligence agents operate on Ukrainian territory".  Stoltenberg's warning is relevant because, in that case, the Western response strategy would go into crisis. In Europe, for example, not only are negotiations frenzied in order to arrive at a package of 'heavy' sanctions, but they are scrambling - European diplomatic sources assure - also on the fundamental issue "of the primer". "France, Germany and Italy opt for boots on the ground and nothing more, while some Eastern countries want to include other scenarios“, Assure the sources.

La White House is certain, "they are ready to launch an attack " (without specifying what kind of attack, ed), he then invited his citizens to leave Ukraine and take refuge in Poland, where another three thousand US soldiers will be sent. Appeal made to their fellow citizens from Korea, Japan, Great Britain and Latvia. Israel recalled the diplomatic staff and even the EU, so far cautious, suggested to the staff "not essential"Of its missions to work remotely"outside the borders " of the country. 

The US president has also called a virtual summit with the main capitals, London, Berlin, Paris, Rome and Warsaw. He will then hear the Ue , NATO.

So what would happen in the case of an unorthodox coup d'état from Moscow, but without a single former Red Army soldier across the border? 

The president of the EU Commission, Ursula von der Leyen assured that the "detailed cooperation in finalizing the sanctions package in case of further aggression by Russia"And that the measures could concern"the finance and energy sectors as well as the export of hi-tech products ". Also Berlin confirms and promises "drastic sanctions " if there will be an invasion. 

The meeting of the Normandy format on Thursday, writes the Ansa, went very badly and Kiev, after ten hours of negotiations, for the umpteenth time refused to deal directly with the separatist republics "Because in this way Russia would no longer be a party to the dispute"

Indeed, the Kremlin wants Ukraine to accept direct negotiations with the self-proclaimed republics of Donbass. 

Ukraine does not negotiate and wants to activate "The risk reduction mechanism" provided for by the Treaty of Vienna, which obliges Russia (signatory) to "provide detailed explanations on military activities in areas adjacent to Ukrainian territory". Moscow should now respond within 48 hours. If she doesn't, Kiev will ask the treaty countries to convene "an extraordinary meeting ”to force Russia to share information. 

In all this Biden will speak with Putin again today. 

In Ukraine, the problem of priming. What happens if there is a heterodirect coup?