(by Andrea Pinto) Western intelligence agencies are certain that the new global crises will come from Africa where terrorist violence is renewing with the birth of many "caliphates" while Stato islamico, al-Qaeda and other militias use the withdrawal of foreign troops to reorganize. After years of attrition in Afghanistan, Iraq and Syria following US-led bombings, both jihadist groups and their affiliates are reorganizing particularly in the region of Sahel. In their favor the new American policy of withdrawing from conflicts far from the homeland. They withdraw their troops from Afghanistan and they will certainly not move them to Africa. France is the only nation, to date, present in the area: however, it has already lost many billions of euros and 55 men without having achieved any noteworthy results. Paris first sent its troops back in 2013 to try to stabilize the region after the jihadists had conquered more than half of Mali. Macronrecently, however, announced that France will terminate its mission since there was a second coup d'état in the former colony in less than a year, thus decreeing the impossibility of stabilizing the region and the failure of the mission. The continuation of the mission for a group of 5100 transalpine soldiers employed in a military support program that covers Mauritania, Niger, Burkina Faso and Chad.
The other nations. The United States provide air transport to the French forces. There Britain has 300 soldiers serving with the forces of the United Nations in Mali. L'Italy is preparing to participate with the mission Takuba whose area of operation is located east of the Niger River, in the "three borders" area (Mali, Niger, Burkina Faso) called Liptako-Gourma.
The departure of most Western armies will leave terrorist groups and their affiliates without a common enemy to fight, local sources said, thus provoking a brutal struggle for domination of the territory. The jihadist groups are already organizing themselves to take advantage of the "chaos" that promises to be. Two weeks ago in the West African province of the Islamic State (Iswap) he was killed Abubakar Shekau, one of the most brutal leaders of Boko Haram, the Islamic terrorist group of Nigeria. He had sworn allegiance to ISIS in the past, but it seems that the organization's central leadership believed him, due to his methods, to cause too many people to be alienated from Muslim beliefs in Nigeria.
In fact, there was a $ 7 million bounty on his head for various crimes that included the mass kidnapping of teenage girls and the use of children as suicide bombers. iswap, always opposed to these extreme actions, instead focuses on winning the consensus of Muslim civilians by targeting foreign soldiers. Abu Musab al-Barnawi, leader of Iswap, has attracted many recruits by denouncing Shekau for his heinous extremism. With his killing, the central leadership of ISIS seems destined to consolidate the jihadist groups under the leadership of its regional branch.
"They are the strongest terrorist group today"a Western intelligence source said. Folahanmi Aina, a Boko Haram and security expert in the Lake Chad Basin region, said Iswap's rule would prolong the insurgency and also allow the group to set up training camps for foreign recruits and fighters. "Iswap thus consolidates its dominance in the region, also acquiring a tactical and operational advantage", Folahanmi said.