(by Massimiliano D'Elia) #Salvini “he doesn't know what to do, he's full of doubts”, confesses those who manage to talk to us.
There are many rumors going around in the parliament among the Northern League. There is a front that wants a break right away and a more waiting one. What is certain is that by June it will have to be decided. It is the border beyond which we can no longer go, if elections are to be held at the end of September, before the work of the budget law.
The turning point
Yesterday afternoon Di Maio phoned Salvini, then immediately went up to the #Quirinale to reassure the President of the Republic, Sergio #Mattarella.
Peace done, many speak of armed truce. Yes to the procurement code in the version revised by the League. At this point Salvini can only accept peace. Also because like a mantra, from the stages of the rallies, he has been repeating for days that in front of the Yes, the government will last 4 years. It was caught in chestnut. Because if from now on he will have many Yes, he will not be able to go back.
Salvini also knows that continuing means putting the capitalized votes of the Europeans at risk. They are fresh, alive and they gave a clear mandate to the leader of the Northern League.
The League, therefore, must clarify its ideas at home immediately and dare. Because, as number two Giorgetti states, the real problems - “the real Vietnam”, paraphrasing Prime Minister Conte's trip to Vietnam - will come with the budget law.
The M5S for now has nothing to lose favoring the League, indeed it builds a new image, that of guaranteeing stability for the good of the Italians. In the long run, perhaps, consensus can be recovered, hoping for other judicial troubles for the Northern League.
I 5S and the elastic leash technique
The M5S may have thought of implementing the technique of elastic, a tight leash that stretches, but well tied to the ally. The two sides of the majority fear the polls because they have no other allies to reach a majority.
The League is hesitant about Forza Italia (probably because of its eternal colonels still in business) and about the percentage levels of Fratelli d'Italia that grows but does not break through.
On the other hand, the M5S wouldn't know who to go with. Even if an internal left wing would gladly embrace the PD. A hug that would, however, be lethal for the Movement. Alliance with the PD, just that PD of Renzi and Gentiloni who fought so much in the House would not be understood and digested by the voters. For now, therefore, we remain in the ford, navigating on sight. If the government passes June, there will be sufficient chances that it will last at least until the budget law is passed. A financial, defined by Conte as "complex", which will be tears and blood: it will have to start from at least 35 billion euros.