The Rosatellum 2.0, or the electoral law designed to make life difficult for popular circulation parties as early as the seventh next, could be consecrated in the Senate. Many neighborhoods close to the parties talk about waiting for the approval of the Stability Law and then go for the vote without waiting for the next spring at the expiration of the legislature. So let's see the numbers of the new electoral law, and above all the technicalities and pitfalls that it will encounter on the path to obstacles to the ultimate consecration.
Rosatellum 2.0 can count on a very large numerical majority in the Senate which protects it from certain fibrillations, also because in Palazzo Madama there is no secret vote on electoral laws. On the other hand, things get complicated if trust were to be used for other reasons. Putting together the numbers of the groups that have supported Rosatellum 2.0, we arrive at a “monster” majority. The Democratic Party can count on 98 votes, in addition to 42 from Forza Italia, 24 from Ap, 12 from Lega, 14 from Ala-Sc, 10 from Idea, 7 from Direction Italy, 13 from linguistic minorities-autonomies. In short, the law can count in the Chamber on 220 votes out of a total of 320 (counting the senators for life, among which only Giorgio Napolitano has spoken out against Rosatellum 2.0). Also in the previous passage to the Commission, Rosatellum 2.0 can count on the support of 24 of the 30 senators. The situation would be different if, once in the Chamber, the coalition supporting the law were to ask the Government once again to place the trust. In the Chamber it happened because they wanted to avoid the trap of secret votes, which the Senate Regulations exclude. Trust could become necessary in the event of an avalanche of amendments. It is true that the “specialist” of the sector, the Northern League player Roberto Calderoli, is among the supporters of the law, but the know-how is now known. Indeed, the first to resort to obstruction of this type was the leader of Si, Loredana De Petris, with her 6.000 amendments to the constitutional reform in July 2014. If, therefore, one opted for trust, the numbers would become skimpy, given that Fi, Ap, Idea, Ala-Sc and Direction Italy do not vote for it and would leave the Chamber. The parties of the governing majority (Pd, Ap, Linguistic Minorities and Autonomies and other individual deputies) could field 140 votes, sufficient to counteract the numbers of those against the law (M5s, Mdp, Si and other former M5s). However, the latter, taking advantage of the exit from the Chamber of Fi, Lega, Directorate of Italy and Ala, could make the same gesture by trying to make the quorum missing. In fact, Fi, Lega, Directorate of Italy and Ala Sc could not abstain, given that in the Senate abstention is equivalent to voting against. In short, a problem that was already spoken of on Thursday evening, at the time of the House's yes to the law, which could force Fi and Lega to vote for a “technical” trust or could lead to creative solutions that have never been seen before.