Taipei is certain, the Chinese military forces are simulating the invasion of the island. The Defense of Taiwan monitors the moves of the Chinese People's Army with fighters and military ships. In addition to the launch of hypersonic missiles, the use of spy drones and the massive use of special forces, China would be trying new armaments in action, a way to make it clear that if it wanted to be able to take the island in the blink of an eye. According to the CIA, however, Xi would have been surprised by the experience of the war in Ukraine: the resistance of Kiev and the mobilization of the Western Community, all deployed in defense of the nation invaded by Moscow.
Returning to military operations close to Taiwan, seven Chinese drones were identified on the islands of Kinmen and Matsu during the night, while to the east of Taiwan, the Beijing fleet carried out attack tests against American and Japanese targets.
The Taiwanese government has denounced that these Chinese maneuvers have unilaterally changed it status quo in the Strait and in the region.
In Beijing, the media follow the evolution of the massive military exercise step by step, a way to give a "strong" response to public opinion after the visit of the representative of the American Upper House, Nancy Pelosi. Il Quotidiano del Popolo has launched the hashtag on the web #China Keeps the Word, cited 500 million times.
The White House hopes that Beijing will renounce rhetoric, denouncing, through the State Department, the Chinese irresponsibility in having suspended the lines of communication with the American military commands in the theater of operations.
La Seventh Fleet USA is in the area without interfering even if the Pentagon is reviewing the operational plans while the strategists are already making simulations of intervention.
As Corsera writes, the response of these war games in recent years has given predictions of doom for the American forces in the region: always defeated by the Chinese "reds". Rand Corporation analyst David Ochmanek said bluntly: "In our wargames, when we fight the Chinese, the blue party (the color assigned to the US military) "Gets its ass handed to it", paraphrasing the expression "vulgar": the US is defeated at sea.
However, after the landing, the Chinese conquest of Taiwan would be problematic: two very recent studies argue that the Chinese would have to move at least 2 million soldiers (including fighters and logistics) to carry out the invasion; 30 million tons of equipment and 5 million tons of oil would be needed. After losing so many men, on the island there would be an inch by inch guerrilla with very uncertain outcomes, especially where Western aid should intervene.