(naAndrea Pinto) Maererano nemuongorori wemauto uye aimbova mukuru weRussia, Andrey Kartapolov, Russia inoda kushandisa mauto ayo ega ega kupinda munyika dzinoonekwa se "weakest links" dzeNATO.
Sekutaura kweaimbova mupurisa uya Wagner kambani inogona kushandiswa kukunda nzvimbo inozivikanwa se Suwalki corridor, nhanho ye65km yevhu pakati pePoland neLithuania iyo yakakosha kune NATO, EU neRussia.
KuMadokero, ndiyo chete inobatanidza nyika nemarepublic matatu ekare eSoviet Baltic Lithuania, Latvia uye Estonia, ndiani angave ari panjodzi kunaPutin kana kusawirirana kweEast-West kunowedzera.
KuRussia, kutonga kwekoridho kwaizovimbisa kubatana kwenyika pakati peBaltic exclave ye Kaliningrad, nheyo huru yePutin's Baltic Fleet, neBelarus.
Andrey Kartapolov, zvino mutevedzeri uye sachigaro wedare redziviriro reparamende yeRussia, akaudza TV yenyika kuti: "Zviri pachena kuti Wagner akaenda kuBelarus kunodzidzisa mauto eBelarusian ... asi kwete izvozvo chete. Kune nzvimbo yakadai seSuwalki Corridor. Kana paine chaizoitika, tinoda iyi Suwalki Corridor zvakanyanya. Mauto anorwisa (Wagner ed.) akamira muBelarus agadzirira kutora mukoridho uyu mumaawa mashoma."
Chinangwa ndechekukurumidza kubata iyi corridor, inoonekwa se "Achilles 'heel" kana "soft underbelly" yeNATO. Sezvo inogona kunge iri yekutanga yekusangana muhondo yenyika yechitatu, koridho yakatsanangurwa “nzvimbo ine ngozi zvikuru pasi pano”.
Kuwedzerwa kwekoridho neRussia kunogona kukonzeresa Chinyorwa 5 cheNATO, nemhedzisiro isingadzivisike yekukwira pakati pemasimba makuru.
Hazvisi zvakangoitika kuti Poland iri kukurumidza kugadzirisa nekuda kwekutyisidzira kubva kuMoscow neGermany yave kuda kuendesa mauto e4.000 zvachose muLithuania, nepo NATO ichisimbisa kuvepo kwayo muBaltic states.
Zvichakadaro, makumi ezviuru zveWagner mauto asvika muBelarus mumazuva achangopfuura.
Mamwe mauto akaonekwa mumugwagwa mudunhu reLipetsk rekuRussia, vakananga kumatunhu akavharirwa nyika.
Iyo Suwalki corridor
Mukoto uri pakati pePoland neLithuania wakavambwa mushure meChibvumirano cheSuwalki cha1920, asi wanga uchinyanya kukosha munguva yehondo kubvira panguva iyoyo matunhu ePoland akawedzera kuchamhembe-kumabvazuva, panguva yeCold War Lithuania chikamu cheSoviet Union nePoland. yaive yeWarsaw Pact. Asi mushure mekuparadzwa kweSoviet Union uye kupera kweWarsaw Pact, nyika dzese dzenharaunda yeBaltic dzakabatana neEuropean Union neNATO. Mushure mezvo, Russia neEU nyika dzakaratidza kufarira kukuru mukoridho uye mukuishandisa senzira yekufambisa yezvinhu nevanhu. Mumakore ekuma90 nekutanga kwe2000s, Russia yakaedza kutaurirana nezvekugadzirwa kwemukoto wekunze wekubatanidza maexclave eKaliningrad neHrodna muBelarus, asi Poland, Lithuania neEuropean Union zvakazvipikisa.
Kusawirirana kweNATO, Poland neLithuania neRussia pamusoro pekushandiswa kweSuwałki corridor kwakawedzera muna 2014, apo Russia yakatora Crimea ndokuzowedzera mushure mekurwisa kweRussia kuUkraine muna Kukadzi 2022. Makakatanwa aya akatungamira muchirimo 2022, NATO neLithuania kusimbisa nyika. kuvapo kwemauto munzvimbo yekoridhi uye European Union muna Chikumi 2022 kuvharira kushandiswa kwayo, kudzivirira zvinobudirira nzira yekuenda nekubva kuKaliningrad, semhedzisiro yezvirango zvakatemerwa Russia nekuda kwekupinda kwayo kuUkraine.
Mamwe mapoka e mercenary muRussia achanyoreswa zviri pamutemo
Kremlin yakataura kupera kweChishanu kuti iri kufunga kupa imwe chinzvimbo zviri pamutemo kune mamwe emakambani anopfuura gumi nemaviri emauto akazvimirira anoshanda muRussia. Pamutemo aya mapoka emapurisa emumvuri haapo, izvo zvinovabvumira kushanda pamwe chete neuto reRussia, dzimwe nguva vachiita basa rakakwirira "rakasviba" kune uto rinogara riripo.
Huwandu hwemakambani emauto akazvimirira anoshanda muRussia hwakaramba huchikura mumakore achangopfuura, zvichikurudzirwa nekudiwa kwekunyorera varwi kuti varwe hondo muUkraine uye chishuwo cheKremlin chekuita mauto aya emumvuri mudziyo weRussia yekune dzimwe nyika mutemo.
Russia ine makumi maviri nenomwe anoshanda akazvimirira emakambani emauto, ayo anopfuura makumi manomwe muzana akagadzirwa mushure me27, sekureva kwaMolfar, wekuUkraine wekuferefeta uye yechokwadi-yekutarisa webhusaiti.
Hofori yesimba Gazprom achangobva kugadzira mauto maviri akazvimiririra, anozivikanwa seFakel (Torch) uye Plamya (Flame). Basa remauto aya akazvimiririra nderokudzivirira midziyo yekambani kunze kwenyika, asiwo kutsigira mauto eRussia muUkraine. Kubva muna Mbudzi gore rapfuura, Chechi yeOrthodox yeRussia yanga ichipawo mari yayo PMC, ine vazvipiri vanonzi vakapinda muhondo yeKremlin muUkraine.
"Huwandu hwePMCs hunogona kuramba huchikura, kunyanya mushure mekupera kwehondo muUkraine," akadaro Marcel Plichta, nyanzvi yezvekudyidzana nedzimwe nyika paYunivhesiti yeSt Andrews kuUK uye aimbova muongorori weDziviriro yeUS. Kune maRussia mazhinji akaunganidzwa pamitsetse yepamberi, aya mauto akazvimirira anopa mikana yebasa uye anovabvumira kuti varambe vachishandisa hunyanzvi hwavakadzidza mumunda, akawedzera.
Maererano neongororo yakabudiswa naMolfar, chikamu chimwe muzvina chePMC dzeRussia dzinoshanda muUkraine chete, nepo gumi nevaviri vari munyika dzakasiyana siyana pasi rose, kunyanya muAfrica. Basa ravo rakareruka: kudzivirira zvido zvevatungamiriri vavo uye avo veKremlin. Saizvozvo, modhi yaWagner inosanganisira kutora zviwanikwa mukutsinhana nemisheni yekurwa, kudzidziswa zvechiuto, uye hungwaru.
"Wagner akasiyana kana achienzaniswa nemamwe maPMCs nekuti Prigozhin haangori mutungamiriri wemauto, asi muzvinabhizinesi. MuAfrica inoshandisa migodhi yegoridhe kuburikidza nemakambani ayo, nevashandi vayo uye nebazi rayo rekuchengetedza; ozotumira zvicherwa kune dzimwe nyika. Parizvino hapana mamwe mauto ane hunyanzvi hwakafanana, "Plichta akasimbisa.
Nyorera kune yedu yemashoko!