The hypersonic capabilities of the Houthis and the consequences of the destabilization of the Middle East

By Pasquale Preziosa

THEIran is successfully engaging in the technological field using the reverse engineering  from Western artefacts for the production of new armaments and applied technologies to more quickly achieve the expected results on the battlefield.

In 2011 and 2012 the Iranians were able to capture US drones (Sentinel RQ 170 and others) through the examination of which they then developed a whole series of new branded drones Made in Iran (Shahed 136).

The reliability of the developed drones has led Russia to negotiate the construction of a new Iranian drone factory near Elabuga in Tatarstan in exchange for Su-35 fighter aircraft and the level of trade in this sector between the two countries has increased fivefold over time.

The ability to reverse engineering has been applied (Iran Observer on X) successfully also to technology single crystal blade of the turbine blades of the CFM56-5B engines mounted on Iranian Airbus airplanes by the MAPNA Group and Russia is now sending its Airbuses for engine maintenance in Iran (C-check).

"The Revolutionary Guards Aerospace Force in June 2023 presented its own hypersonic missile (mach 13-15), called Fatah, with a range of 1400 km”.

The range of the Fatah hypersonic missile is compatible with the distances separating Israel from Iran.

The Houthis in Yemen also recently announced their possession of hypersonic missiles (probably transferred from Iran) to conduct their maritime interdiction efforts in the Red Sea.

The news was spread by the Russian channel Ria Novosti and is therefore worthy of further study intelligence about the veracity of the content.

Iran is therefore preparing to face threats to its security by equipping itself with fourth generation aircraft more more, with limited stealth capability but with great maneuverability (jet vectorization) in air-to-air and air-to-ground use.

Il Su35 it is considered one of the most powerful fighter aircraft thanks to its high offensive and defensive capabilities and with a range compatible with the distance from Israel.

Iran has demonstrated its missile and satellite capabilities since 2009 with the satellite put into orbit Omid.

The missile technology used to put satellites into orbit is common to that of long-range surface-to-surface ballistic missiles.

According to the US Institute of Peace Iran possesses the largest and most diverse arsenal of ballistic missiles in the Middle East.

The G-7 countries have threatened Iran that they could take significant measures if it continues to develop more powerful missile systems, but such threats may not impede plans to strengthen Iran's military capabilities.

Associating a ballistic missile with a nuclear warhead is complicated but not impossible, while developing a capability to release multiple nuclear warheads is very complex.

On the negotiating level for the limitation of Iranian nuclear power for military purposes, no progress has been made with the West: Iran rejected the proposal to revive the JCPOA Agreement (Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action).

Iran has the support of both Russia and North Korea which are two nuclear powers that are not against a nuclear Iran.

Furthermore, Iran and China have established diplomatic, commercial and military relations in recent decades, developing an economic partnership especially for the supply of oil and to counter Western influence.

Iran's achievement of nuclear capability will further disrupt the already fragile security architecture in the Middle East, put to the test since October 7, 2023.

Shiite Iran's potential declaration that it has reached the military nuclear threshold will "guarantee" the Sunnis' achievement of the same status (Balance of power).

Middle Eastern countries believe that the possession of nuclear weapons is a sort of insurance against possible foreign invasions and repeatedly recall the Libyan case which, despite complying with all the sanctions imposed, was ultimately destabilized.

Iran has repeatedly demonstrated that it has become a cyber power capable of obtaining information (Cyber ​​espionage) and the ability to attack the critical infrastructures of victim countries (Gonjeshke Darande,…)

Iran will continue its technological race and Western sanctions do not seem to be able to prevent the achievement of the expected results.

Disagreements with the USA date back to the coup d'état promoted by the CIA in 1953 against the prime minister  Mohammad Mosaddegh deemed nationalist to favor Mohammad Reza Pahlavi instead considered "favorable" to the interests of some Western powers.

Unfortunately, the weak governance of Reza Pahlavi led to the Shiite Islamic Revolution in 1978 with the rise of the first theocracy to power in the Islamic world.

These disagreements eased in the joint fight against the Taliban in Afghanistan, but resurfaced after Iran's inclusion in theAxis of Evil which brought Gen. Qassen Soleimani to suggest rethinking relations with the USA.

Soleimani was killed on January 3, 2020 by 4 missiles launched from an MQ-9 drone in Iraq while he was acting as a messenger for the detente of relations between Iran and Riyadh (he was expected by Saudi representatives).

The killing of Soleimani opened the door to the Chinese who worked for "pacification" between the Sunnis and the Shiites by opening the door to Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi in Saudi Arabia and freezing the war in Yemen.

The recent killing of Iranian officials in Damascus in infrastructures protected by international conventions by Israel has generated a series of very powerful reactions and promises of strong responses from Iran, which will not be long in coming.

Iran continues to open its way to China through Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan through trade and diplomacy.

The new modus operandi of Global South it is now based on trade and diplomacy unlike the Western modus based on law enforcement and sanctions.

But Iran will not stop its preparation process for the fight against Israel and after the response to the killing of its officers in diplomatic territory the level of international terrorism against the West will be even higher.

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The hypersonic capabilities of the Houthis and the consequences of the destabilization of the Middle East