According to reports from La Stampa, the truce will be signed today in Moscow between Fayez al Sarraj, president of the Government of national agreement, General Khalifa Haftar, the president of the Tobruk parliament Agila Saleh, and the head of the Tripoli State Council, Khalid al -Mishri. It sounds strange that this important passage in the Libyan “dossier” finds its fragile ending in Moscow under the supervision of Putin and Erdogan.

The ceasefire, Semprini writes in La Stampa, freezes a situation on the ground in which Haftar has a great advantage over the April 4 start date of the conflict. That's why Sarraj demands the opponent's withdrawal, while the general talks about his conditions of peace. The risk - say sources of the UN Glass Palace - is that Purin, to collect the yes of the field marshal, guaranteed him something on the ground. It is no coincidence that Saleh accused Turkey of wanting to transform Libya into an "Ottoman state" with Sarraj's complicity, and called for direct intervention by the Egyptian armed forces in case the conflict continues.

Libero interviewed the US strategic consultant Edward Luttwak who spoke of the only country that can have real influence in Libya, Italy.

European countries have weapons, and they also know how to use them. The Italian Armed Forces themselves could play them both in Iran and Turkey. But to use a military force in the service of the national interest one must have national cohesion. Italy has the military capacity to dominate Libya: it would be enough for you to move the troops you now have in Kosovo or Afghanistan. But it doesn't have the political cohesion to do it. The power of each state depends on its military and economic capacity, multiplied by the national cohesion necessary to use it. A thousand aircraft carriers for zero cohesion make zero ».

And now what happens in Iraq? 

"When the Americans removed Saddam they created the conditions under which the Shiite majority determined the future of the country, but now this Shiite majority has taken to the streets to demand an end to Iranian influence. The most probable thing is that in the end they all leave. The western military presence, in effect, was to face ISIS ". 

However, the Italian government continues to see Shiite Iran as an ally against ISIS

"Italian interests in Iraq are not as strong as those in Libya, which in practice was created by Italian colonialism. And we see that where the Italian military hospital is located, the Italian military ensures stability and security for everyone in that area. Italy is the only country to know Libya enough to stabilize it. But he must have the will to do it ». 

What if Iran now blocks the Strait of Hormuz to drive up oil prices?

"If you want to commit suicide, you can do this and more. Iran uses high-sounding rhetoric, but the truth is that its military and militias are only capable of massacring unarmed civilians. In protests from Iran itself as in Syria. But every time they clashed with the Israelis they took them. " 

Trump, however, had been elected to withdraw. Instead, it is reporting a strong US presence in the world

«Trump has promised that one day he will leave Afghanistan and do so when he can do so. He thinks that nothing can be done in Islamic countries. Instead, he wants to deal with China, which is now quite contained by an alliance which includes India, Japan, Vietnam and Australia. Not only the countries but also the leaders. Trump managed to establish a strong personal relationship with Modi and Abe, which Obama did not succeed in. " 

Meanwhile Libya is moving towards a partition between Turkey and Russia

«Again, Turkey is a country with very low military capacity. And to get to Libya, it must then fly over two countries that it has decided to make enemies: Israel and Egypt. So she is very weak in Libya. He acts because others do nothing. " The next presidential elections are held on 3 November. 

Will the outcome be influenced by international problems? 

"People vote primarily on an economic and emotional basis, and less than 30% of the American population has a passport. International politics is followed by four cats, and none of the candidates expresses a real interest ».