Libya is far from peaceful. It is a powder keg ready to explode which will cause Italy a great deal of trouble, aware of the fact that over 600 refugees from all over Africa and the Middle East are massed in those lands. Data on migratory flows affecting our country are published daily on the website of the Ministry of the Interior: in 2022, as many as 101.127 illegal immigrants landed in Italy, many more than the 64.612 in 2021 and the 33.863 in 2020. Most of they are Egyptians (20.486), then there are Tunisians (17.931), then those from Bangladesh (14.381). 51.000 arrive from Libya, considered a transit country.
Political instability and elections that fail to materialize are elements that lead us not to be optimistic about the future of the North African country. The last votes date back to 2014, those of December last year wanted by the UN failed miserably.
Tripoli and all of the north-west are under the aegis of the Government of National Unity (GNU), led by the premier Abdulhamid Dbeibah, While the Cyrenaica and Fezzan they are governed by FathiBashaga, on paper, because we know very well that the general of the Libyan national army is making the loud voice in that area Kalifa Haftar, among other things very close to Vladimir Putin's Russia, so much so that the Wagner mercenary company is at home in those parts.
Although there is still no talk of a real civil war, yesterday an armed group belonging to the ranks of Haftar's forces opened fire on two citizens in the city of AlBayda, in the north of the country. Last week the rumors of a secession by Haftar became more and more insistent, even if the general in his Christmas speech reassured everyone about those rumors, according to him, without any foundation. Haftar spoke of the last chance to make one road map which provides for the holding of elections, highlighting the need for a more equitable distribution of oil revenues, recalling that only the Libyans are able to solve their problem and form a unified Libyan state.
To stem Haftar, the The Libya Observer explains that the Speaker of the House of Representatives, Aquila Saleh and the number one of the High Council, Khalid Al-Mishri, proclaimed the resumption of dialogue to reach a new agreement in order to be able to hold free and democratic elections.
Haftar, as La Verità writes, would be looking for new funding for his electoral campaign in view of the next elections. Money sought from profits from the sale of oil directly on international markets. The general also asked Russia to print Libyan dinars. Of these, one billion have already been seized in Malta, at the request of the United States. Moreover, at the end of November, he was fired Ali al Hibridalla post of Deputy Governor of the Central Bank of Libya. He officially he would have been accused of corruption, but in reality he would have opposed the introduction of new dinars printed in Russia into the economic and financial system of Cyrenaica.
The website AfricanIntelligence reported that in Dec Saddam Haftar, the general's son, tried to take control of banking institutions in eastern Libya to finance his father's election campaign and pay the salaries of his militiamen.
What is certain is that the world is not at all calm with old and new conflicts at the gates: Serbia-Kosovo - Russia-Ukraine-Sudan-Syria-Afghanistan-Iraq-Turkey-Kurds-Yemen-Sahel-Dominion in the Indo-Pacific-South Korea- North Korea-Iran – Israel-Qatar and the Gulf Countries-India-Pakistan-Brazil-Venezuela-Cuba.