(by Andrea Pinto) The yellow-red government is sprouting despite the dangers in the long path that will see it next week in the presence of the two classrooms for the parliamentary seal with the vote of confidence. As for the numbers a Camera there are no big problems: 316 is needed and the yellow-red coalition has one 348 in favor. The problems could arise in the Senate, where a majority of 161 votes. Instead, the government team can count on reliable 157 support senators (107 5S and 51 Pd), considering that the grillino Gianluigi Paragone has already declared its vote against.

There are 5 to 6 votes left. The contribution of the smaller groups will be important. The U of senators counts 4, the Mixed 2 and 2 others are the senators voted abroad. In total it would be 8 more votes that have already claimed to support the vote of confidence. Then the 6 senators for life could have a weight in the calculation, reduced by 50% by the Fraccaro reform. It is therefore a "ballerina" majority, a handful of "scyllipotes" are enough to blow up the ambitions of the Conte "Due / Bis" government.

It is no coincidence that the Lega and the Brothers of Italy have been appealing to the "conscience" of parliamentarians for days. It is not said, in fact, that all the grillini vote in favor of the yellow-red government, so many internal branches that have not digested the alliance with the enemy of all time, the Democratic Party and that could explode the political agreement that is not was not even submitted to the vote of the base through the Rousseau Platform.