(To Giuseppe Paccione) For weeks, the Kremlin tenant has been usingnuclear weapon against the West it supports militarily Ukraine, in order to obtain a victory that sees further and further away.
Moscow has communicated the outcome of the referendum (farce) for the annexation of the territories where the elections were held illegitimate or obtained by forcing citizens under the threat of a pointed gun. This result could give space to Russia itself for its right to intervene to defend the annexed territories and integral parts of the Russian territory, a result that subsequently led to the farce ceremony held in the Kremlin, of the recognition of the annexation of the four provinces recognized by Russia. . How can we not mention the Crimea which was annexed with the referendum (farce) and, subsequently, illegally annexed always with the instrument of military coercive action. Putin could add that these annexations of territorial strips constitute his latest claims of the Ukrainian territory and that, for a few days, he has announced its intention to start peace talks, as long as Western countries stop supplying the Ukrainian army militarily and will put pressure on the Kiev government to accept the fact that it no longer has any ownership over the territories annexed by Moscow.
The danger of using mass destruction weapons on the part of the Kremlin against Ukraine should not be completely concealed. This alarm bell of the Russian use of nuclear weapons could lead Western leaders to have to find a way out but on Putin's terms, which could focus on a strong combination to undermine the foundations of Western countries' support for Ukraine.
This last move of the head of the Kremlin with the referendum calling for annexation through the threat of using nuclear weapons, the diplomatic pressure of theIndia e Turkey to put an end to this war that has lasted for months. However, the apparent terms of the head of the Russian Federation are no more a road to sustainable peace than were the claims of Hitler, when in 1938 he asserted that the Sudeten province, inhabited by the Germans in Czechoslovakia, was his last territorial claim in Europe. A ceasefire now that it leaves Russia in possession of that part of the conquered Ukrainian territory would allow the Kremlin tenant to rebuild the its abused forces and resume his war at a time he deems appropriate.
Giving in to Putin's threats to use weapons of mass destruction would create a precedent that he could employ elsewhere. One can think, for example, of a rapid Russian attack across the Estonian border with the occupation and annexation of the Estonian city. Narva, in which the majority of the Russian-speaking population lives and to threaten to resort to nuclear weapons after the acquisition of the Estonian territory. Obviously, next time Putin can hardly opt not to face a country that is part of the Atlantic Alliance. However, he could move against the northern lands of the Kazakhstan using the same methods. As well as annex the Georgian provinces occupied or the separatist province of Transnistria of Moldova, supported by the Kremlin.
Letting Putin succeed over Ukraine with the intimidating tool of nuclear power could open the door to new aggressions.
The supporters who want the Ukrainian state to surrender its territory and the people to control indefinitely they also have to face the consequences on the ground, such as the Russian atrocities on Ukrainian territory, which are well documented. This cannot be considered a theme in which only total victory is acceptable. The United States, for example, attempted a similar victory during the early stages of the war conflict in Korea. The full defeat of the North Koreans, who had initiated the war, would have been a far better outcome for the Americans, the world and the people of North Korea. But it was not reachable and when the United States tried to reach it, China entered the war.
The moment could come when the best way to go is really a negotiation whereby the possession of some Ukrainian territories is left to Moscow, which will hardly come. Russia is still in a losing position, in the sense that its soldiers appear unable to win and it is not clear when or even if the mobilization will give Putin hope.
Sul economic plan, the balance of economic pressure could turn against Russia itself, especially if the oil price ceilings agreed by the G7 and taken into account by the EU come into force in a few months and, of course, will cause serious problems for the economic structure of Russia. We note the absence of the Russian population's support for Putin's war, except in some areas of Dagestan, where the mobilization seems to have triggered an active resistance in the form of protests.
The head of the Kremlin seems to be playing the card mass destruction weapons like last resort to avoid defeat in Ukraine, which would indicate the defeat of its ambition to restore the Russian empire through war and threats to resort to armed force. In my opinion, given Russia's weak position, Putin is bluffing.
La White House he has shown full steadfastness in the face of Putin's nuclear threats, warning that the latter is in any case against the use of this weapon of mass destruction. The Russian president wants the entire West to abandon any kind of support for Ukraine. While Western countries have already reiterated that they will continue to provide military, economic and political aid.
At the same time, the West should not think that President Putin is only playing with his continuing nuclear threats, although the odds of any possible employment may be low, however, it should not be assumed that it is impossible. Nobody wants a return to cold war, but the head of the Moscow government preferred to wear the robes of the aggressor, ergo, it is necessary to resist those who resort to the tool of aggression and blackmail.