China after the XIX Congress: what we have to wait in the next five years

The new Chinese President Xi Jinping was put on by the XIX Chinese Congress at the same level as Mao Zedong.

There will be a new Politburo for the country's leadership over the next five years. The most interesting fact is that he has not been named a successor to Xi Jinping and this will give the current leader to the next 2020 Chinese congress.

China is undergoing a major social, economic and diplomatic change, the management of which is both complicated and complex.

The Chinese Congress's response has been clear: Generals do not change during the battle, government continuity is the best antidote in critical transition periods.

The results achieved so far by Xi Jinping are considered satisfactory by the country, passive posture both in Asia and in the Pacific is growing the international perception of the country as a peaceful nation, dedicated to internal development, a great supporter of globalization, as well as others countries except the USA.

Trump's new protectionism is opposed by China and Washington is isolated on the directions taken for free trade treaties, NAFTA in the first place, which disgusts Mexico and Canada and TPP, to follow, which dissatisfied Japan, in turn, relented in economic malaise.

For Europe, the new American policy has favored Germany's approaching China to which Russia would like to meet.

For home-made events, North Korea enjoys Chinese and Russian support and has become nuclear power - it is only a few details missing.

China is concerned only with the direction of American politics with less emphasis on globalization, but more focus on economic policy and above all financial.

The two countries are definitely on a geopolitical course but are heavily tied and economically interdependent.

The main market for China is the US and China is the country where the US invests more.

Trump will want to redefine the terms of the trade agreements, but will still find Xi Jinping, who has become, in fact, the guardian of diplomatic traditions between the two countries.

From a military point of view, China is growing and the model is American: nuclear power based on the triad, although the number of heads is much lower (about 250) to the Russian and American ones (about 7400).

China has only one aircraft carrier purchased from Ukraine and a second aircraft carrier will enter service in the 2020.

China continues its military maneuvers in the eastern China Sea and militarization of the uninhabited islands of the Southern China Sea (Navy Admiral Harry B. Harris jr.).

The Chinese are increasing their military capacity to defend the areas that are now in controversy, contrary to US global commons philosophy.

It should be noted that China spends $ 147 billions of dollars a year for the armed forces while the United States spends about 600 billion.

China will, for the moment, avoid big conflicts with the US, unless you press the Taiwan button. It will continue to strengthen economic relations with all countries pushing on globalization and the Belt and Road Initiative.

Xi Jinping is the best guarantee today for the nation's internal and external development.

 

By Roberta Preziosa

China after the XIX Congress: what we have to wait in the next five years