Analysis of the General Paschal Precious and Professor Anna Maria Pagnani
President Macron settled down last June and his first goal was to establish a strong foreign policy in France.
He moved from east to west of the planet withholding, then in the center of Europe, had talks with Trump, Putin and then with Merkel before the political elections in Germany.
He traveled a long way in Eastern European countries, including Austria, the Czech Republic, Slovakia, Romania and Bulgaria, to discuss, as reported, agreements for the work of East European workers in the West European.
After the elections in Germany, Macron spoke to the Sorbonne about the future of Europe and European defense, but regardless of the results of the German and the next elections in Italy.
Accepted by a "harsh contest by students to the Sorbonne (ansa.it)", he based his speech on the idea of the new "sovereign, united and democratic" Europe.
He launched the idea of a common military intervention force, of a European border police, of a "broad program of integration and protection of refugees: ... welcoming them is our common duty as Europeans ...".
He added the idea of creating a "European anti-terrorist proxy" to be able to act together from prevention to repression, and insisted on student bilingualism within the 2024.
Macron's speech has not awakened any European conscience, there have been many circumstantial analyzes, no political emotion, neither in Europe nor over the ocean.
Indeed, overseas, already after the first trips to Eastern Europe, doubts had arisen about the ultimate aims of the talks held, “France is also playng a more subtle (subtle) political game” (stratfor).
Visengrad countries - such as Poland, Hungary, Czech Republic and Slovakia - have, with the exception of Slovakia, almost all shown reluctance to welcome migrants seeking asylum.
Visengrad countries want to make their voice heard as soon as the European Union's reform process begins, ie after the stabilization of the new German government.
After Macron's talk at the Sorbonne, the European geopolitical picture seems even more confusing.
All the ideas announced to the Sorbonne would require the creation of European intelligence services, a Ministry of Common Security, a Common Defense Ministry, common criminal codes and criminal proceedings, all institutional pillars that go far beyond the strengthened cooperation provided for in Lisbon Treaty that are still at the embryonic level of deepening between European countries.
The New European Defense, announced after Brexit, also lies in Limbo.
Macron's ideas are enunciated without any realization, they are just ideas.
Einstein writing to Paul Valéry stated: "An idea, a new and good idea, is really rare."
France continues today to lead a “more subtle political game” also with Italy, where many political and police problems have arisen between the two countries due to the transit of migrants in Ventimiglia.
Not only that, with the STX shipyards, France has annihilated the Italian contract already signed with the green disk of President Hollande (Fincantieri had bought 66,7% from a Korean company), 50% plus 1% very conditioned and only for the next 12 years. This meant that possible investments could be more productive with a strong impact on Leonardo's participation, now mitigated by the strong Thales, which last year presented, for the first time, a growing and superior balance sheet to Leonardo.
Relationships between the two countries are at a minimum because the "pacta sunt servanda", ie the fundamental principle of civil law and international law, has not been respected; that principle has been disregarded, we have returned to the strongest law in the international arena.
Not only that, in Libya, where the Italian-led consortium Aeneas received the contract for rebuilding the airport of Tripoli from Milad Matoog's Transport Minister Serraj. But the French company ADPI (Aeroports de Paris Ingenierie, which in the 2007 won the contract for the Sebba and Benghazi airports), is pushing to counter the development of the contract for Italians, supported by the French State.
The approach of France to Serraj, which in the past had always supported Gen. Haftar, has its reason for being.
The French ambassador to Tunisia (OP d'Avor), did his utmost to obtain visas to enter Libya and bank letters of credit for French companies and personnel because it is feared that Italians could appropriate more commercial positions. advantageous: the French one is an all-out struggle, with the state always supporting foreign trade.
It is not a positive geopolitical picture for Italy and for Europe that is based on its amalgam on values, trust and mutual respect.
France still has a strong nationalist tendency in the facts and seems to apply Machiavelli's false perception contained in the well-worn phrase "the end justifies the means" without ever asking what justifies the end.
One of the many side effects, probably unwanted by the French Revolution, was the concept of nationalism. The idea that people of relatively common origin, ascendancy and shared language should have a common destiny.
The nation-state took shape from nationalism, that is, that political entity that embraced all the people who shared similar ethnic values in a single governing entity.
The combination of nationalism, the concept of the nation-state and the unstoppable French inclination for the centralization of power already in place produced the French Republic.
The energies of the country were channeled to the center rather than to the regions or fiefs of the time.
France completed a work already begun with the war of one hundred years against England: after that period there were no other movements that introduced new solid political paradigms in Europe.
With these geopolitical analyzes, the French behavior in recent Italian events cannot surprise that much. Nationalism is still dominant despite those who see the need to build a European future that can better compete with the great challenges facing the world. These are challenges that the single small European State is unable to counter, nor can it compete with. Even in Europe the concept of “France first“ has never faded.
Europe has remained at Brexit with the lack of good ideas and someone who has political competence and passion.
by Pasquale Preziosa and Maria Paola Pagnini