Russia is really ready to invade and the first city to fall could be Mariupol, halfway between Crimea and Donbass, territory occupied by pro-Russians since 2014.
In addition to US intelligence, the number one of the White House, Biden, also announced it during a press conference when he spoke of a 'minor raid by the Russians.
What is certain is that such an anticipation must never be made, because it is not a sporting prediction but an invasion of one state against another. We immediately took action and since yesterday Biden's communication narrative has changed: “Any encroachment by Russian troops will be considered an invasion. The reaction of the United States will be rapid, extremely harsh and united ”.
The secretary of state in Geneva today Antony blinken he will hand over the firm position of the United States to his Russian colleague Sergey Lavrov. Blinken will ask Lavrov to return to work with the United States and allies in order to ensure mutual security. A rapprochement, says Blinken, which would be abruptly interrupted if there is a Russian aggression against Ukraine. On the horizon there could also be a summit between Biden and Putin.
The Ukrainian president Volodymyr ZelenskyHowever, he did not like Biden's phrase saying that "there are no minor incursions".
He also intervenes in the rescue Recep Tayyip Erdogan which proposes a face to face between Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelensky even though Kiev is already entirely oriented towards the United States and NATO.
In fact, according to Biden's latest intervention, NATO could be ready to move large military forces to the east while Finland could also join the Alliance, thus creating a sort of pincer grip on Russia's borders. Biden has also threatened sanctions on Russian gas exports to hit Moscow's economy hard, it being understood that most of the EU depends on Russian gas itself.
For now we are still the rhetoric.